Newry City AFC vs Dundela FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at The Showgrounds, Newry.
What's at stake. Newry City AFC are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, level on points with H&W Welders, 1 point clear of Warrenpoint Town. A win would take them above H&W Welders. Dundela FC are 12th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Ards, level on points with Moyola Park. A win would take them above Ards.
Form. Newry City AFC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Newry City AFC have gone L W D D D W. Dundela FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition Dundela FC have gone L W D D W L.
The numbers. Newry City AFC score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Newry City AFC average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Dundela FC score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Dundela FC average 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Newry City AFC have won three, drawn four and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Newry City AFC won one, one was drawn and Dundela FC won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2025, it finished Newry City AFC 1-1 Dundela FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Newry City AFC are the form side, but the meetings favour Dundela FC: in the last nine meetings, Newry City AFC won three, Dundela FC won two and four were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Newry City AFC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Newry City AFC or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Newry City AFC 1-1 Dundela FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).