America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 02:15 Lagos time. It is played at Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali. The referee is Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa.
What's at stake. America de Cali are 1st on 27 points after 12 games, 2 points clear of Deportivo Cali. Independiente Medellin are 7th on 20 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Millonarios, level on points with Deportes Tolima. A win would take them above Millonarios.
Form. America de Cali have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition America de Cali have gone W W D L W D. Independiente Medellin have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. In this competition Independiente Medellin have gone L D L W D L.
The numbers. America de Cali score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. America de Cali average 14.7 shots (4.7 on target), 8.7 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Independiente Medellin score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Independiente Medellin average 18.5 shots (6.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings America de Cali have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, America de Cali won one, one was drawn and Independiente Medellin won two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2026, it finished America de Cali 1-2 Independiente Medellin.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Independiente Medellin's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. America de Cali to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make America de Cali the likelier winners; America de Cali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour America de Cali. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: America de Cali or Draw at 1.20, 76% on the records (America de Cali unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Independiente Medellin failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: America de Cali Over 0.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (America de Cali are a clear winner, no Unders); 1X2 - 2UP: America de Cali (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).