12 Bingol Spor vs Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor
Match details. 2. Lig, 2. Lig Red Group - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. 12 Bingol Spor are 11th on 5 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Karacabey Belediyespor, level on points with Serik Spor. A win would take them above Karacabey Belediyespor. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind 24 Erzincanspor, 1 point clear of Ankaragücü. A win would take them above 24 Erzincanspor.
Form. 12 Bingol Spor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D.
The numbers. 12 Bingol Spor score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. 12 Bingol Spor average 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor average 5.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.31, 74% on the records (12 Bingol Spor: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); 12 Bingol Spor Under 1.5 goals (Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: 12 Bingol Spor 1-1 Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).