Match details. Erovnuli Liga, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi.
What's at stake. FC Spaeri are 9th on 25 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Gagra, 8 points clear of Meshakhte. FC Torpedo Kutaisi are 6th on 36 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Dila, 4 points clear of Samgurali. FC Torpedo Kutaisi have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Spaeri have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. In this competition FC Spaeri have gone L L D D L L. FC Torpedo Kutaisi have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. In this competition FC Torpedo Kutaisi have gone L W D D L D.
The numbers. FC Spaeri score one and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Spaeri average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Torpedo Kutaisi average 10.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings FC Spaeri have won one, drawn two and lost two. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FC Spaeri won one, two were drawn and FC Torpedo Kutaisi won one. The last time they met, on 22 Jun 2026, it finished FC Spaeri 0-0 FC Torpedo Kutaisi: FC Spaeri had 8 shots to 9, 40% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. FC Spaeri's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. FC Torpedo Kutaisi to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Torpedo Kutaisi the likelier winners; FC Torpedo Kutaisi are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FC Torpedo Kutaisi at 1.31, 78% on the records (FC Torpedo Kutaisi unbeaten in 6 of 10; FC Spaeri failed to win 10 of 10). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Torpedo Kutaisi or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Spaeri Under 1.5 goals (FC Torpedo Kutaisi's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: FC Spaeri 0-1 FC Torpedo Kutaisi (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).