Forge FC Hamilton vs Inter Toronto
Match details. Canadian Premier League. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Forge FC Hamilton have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. Inter Toronto have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. Forge FC Hamilton score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Forge FC Hamilton average 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Inter Toronto score two and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Inter Toronto average 2.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 46%.
The read. No firm call: Forge FC Hamilton are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Forge FC Hamilton the likelier winners; Forge FC Hamilton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forge FC Hamilton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 78% on the records (Forge FC Hamilton: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Inter Toronto: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Inter Toronto Over 0.5 goals (Forge FC Hamilton's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Forge FC Hamilton 2-1 Inter Toronto (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).