Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadions Daugava, Liepāja.
What's at stake. FK Liepaja are 4th on 43 points after 31 games, 18 points behind Auda, 1 point clear of BFC Daugavpils. FK Auda Riga are 3rd on 61 points after 31 games, 15 points behind Riga, 18 points clear of FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja have nothing left to play for. FK Auda Riga have nothing left to play for.
Form. FK Liepaja have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. In this competition FK Liepaja have gone D D D W L W. FK Auda Riga have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. In this competition FK Auda Riga have gone D W D W D W.
The numbers. FK Liepaja score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Auda Riga score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Liepaja have won three, drawn one and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Auda Riga won four. The last time they met, on 25 Aug 2026, it finished FK Liepaja 0-1 FK Auda Riga.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FK Liepaja's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. FK Auda Riga to win. FK Auda Riga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Auda Riga; the meetings favour FK Auda Riga.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Liepaja Under 1.5 goals (FK Liepaja's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: FK Liepaja 0-1 FK Auda Riga (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).