Match details. League One, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield.
What's at stake. Huddersfield are 3rd on 15 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Bradford, 1 point clear of Sheffield Wednesday. A win would take them above Bradford. Sheffield Wednesday are 4th on 14 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Huddersfield, 1 point clear of Stockport County. A win would take them above Huddersfield.
Form. Huddersfield have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. Sheffield Wednesday have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.
The numbers. Huddersfield score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Huddersfield average 8.7 shots (4.8 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sheffield Wednesday average 7.9 shots (3.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Huddersfield have won two, drawn four and lost two. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Huddersfield won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 3 Feb 2024, it finished Huddersfield 4-0 Sheffield Wednesday: Huddersfield had 12 shots to 12, 38% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 58% against the records' 32%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Huddersfield are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Huddersfield the likelier winners; the meetings favour Huddersfield. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Huddersfield: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Sheffield Wednesday: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Huddersfield Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Huddersfield 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).