Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion
Match details. League One, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster.
What's at stake. Doncaster Rovers are 21st on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Notts County, level on points with Milton Keynes Dons. A win would take them above Notts County. Burton Albion are 8th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Reading, level on points with AFC Wimbledon. A win would take them above Reading.
Form. Doncaster Rovers have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Burton Albion have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Doncaster Rovers score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Doncaster Rovers average 8.7 shots (3.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Burton Albion average 5.9 shots (2.5 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Doncaster Rovers have won four, drawn three and lost two. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Doncaster Rovers won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 Feb 2026, it finished Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Burton Albion: Doncaster Rovers had 13 shots to 20, 36% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Doncaster Rovers the likelier winners, but Burton Albion are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Doncaster Rovers. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Burton Albion's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Doncaster Rovers or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Doncaster Rovers the likelier winners; Burton Albion are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Doncaster Rovers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 73% on the records (Doncaster Rovers: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Burton Albion: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Burton Albion (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).