Match details. Division 2, Södra Svealand - 25. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Raagsveds IF are 6th on 39 points after 24 games, 4 points behind Haninge, 3 points clear of Smedby. Smedby AIS are 7th on 36 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Rågsved, 3 points clear of Fittja. A win would take them level on points with Rågsved. Raagsveds IF have nothing left to play for. Smedby AIS have nothing left to play for.
Form. Raagsveds IF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition Raagsveds IF have gone W D L W W W. Smedby AIS have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Smedby AIS have gone D L L L D W.
The numbers. Raagsveds IF score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Raagsveds IF average 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Smedby AIS score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Smedby AIS average 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Raagsveds IF have won four, drawn none and lost one. Four of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Raagsveds IF won four. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Raagsveds IF 2-0 Smedby AIS.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; four of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Smedby AIS's record still gives them 20% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Raagsveds IF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Raagsveds IF the likelier winners; Raagsveds IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Raagsveds IF; the meetings favour Raagsveds IF. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Raagsveds IF or Draw at 1.25, 73% on the records (Raagsveds IF unbeaten in 7 of 10; Smedby AIS failed to win 5 of 5 away). Leave: Raagsveds IF or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Raagsveds IF 2-1 Smedby AIS (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).