IFK Haninge vs FC Nacka Iliria
Match details. Division 2, Södra Svealand - 25. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Torvalla idrottsplats, Haninge.
What's at stake. IFK Haninge are 5th on 43 points after 24 games, level on points with Nyköping, 4 points clear of Rågsved. A win would take them above Nyköping. FC Nacka Iliria are 12th on 24 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Syrianska FC, 4 points clear of Lindo FF. A win would take them above Syrianska FC. FC Nacka Iliria have nothing left to play for, while IFK Haninge need the win.
Form. IFK Haninge have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. In this competition IFK Haninge have gone D W W L L W. FC Nacka Iliria have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. In this competition FC Nacka Iliria have gone L W W L D L.
The numbers. IFK Haninge score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. IFK Haninge average 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FC Nacka Iliria score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Nacka Iliria average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings IFK Haninge have won four, drawn one and lost none. Four of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, IFK Haninge won four. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2026, it finished IFK Haninge 5-1 FC Nacka Iliria.
The case against. FC Nacka Iliria's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. IFK Haninge to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make IFK Haninge the likelier winners; IFK Haninge are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IFK Haninge; the meetings favour IFK Haninge. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); FC Nacka Iliria Under 1.5 goals (IFK Haninge's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: IFK Haninge 2-1 FC Nacka Iliria (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).