Match details. Ettan, Norra - 26. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sola Arena, Karlstad, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. IF Karlstad Fotbol are 7th on 41 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Enköping, 9 points clear of Assyriska FF. A win would take them above Enköping. FC Arlanda are 2nd on 48 points after 25 games, 9 points behind Stockholm Internazionale, 1 point clear of AFC Eskilstuna. IF Karlstad Fotbol have nothing left to play for, while FC Arlanda need the win.
Form. IF Karlstad Fotbol have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L. In this competition IF Karlstad Fotbol have gone D D D D L L. FC Arlanda have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition FC Arlanda have gone W W W W L L.
The numbers. IF Karlstad Fotbol score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. IF Karlstad Fotbol average 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FC Arlanda score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Arlanda average 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings IF Karlstad Fotbol have won two, drawn none and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2026, it finished IF Karlstad Fotbol 0-1 FC Arlanda.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. IF Karlstad Fotbol's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. FC Arlanda to win. FC Arlanda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arlanda.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: IF Karlstad Fotbol 0-1 FC Arlanda (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).