Match details. Premijer Liga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Banja Luka.
What's at stake. FK Borac Banja Luka are 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Zrinjski, 6 points clear of FK Sarajevo. A win would take them above Zrinjski. FK BSK Banja Luka are 8th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Čelik, level on points with Velež. A win would take them above Čelik.
Form. FK Borac Banja Luka have won six, drawn one and lost one of their last eight, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition FK Borac Banja Luka have gone W W W L W D. FK BSK Banja Luka have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. In this competition FK BSK Banja Luka have gone D D W L L L.
The numbers. FK Borac Banja Luka score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets. FK Borac Banja Luka average 10.7 shots (5.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FK BSK Banja Luka score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK BSK Banja Luka average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: FK Borac Banja Luka are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FK Borac Banja Luka the likelier winners; FK Borac Banja Luka are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Borac Banja Luka.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FK Borac Banja Luka Over 1.5 Goals (FK BSK Banja Luka's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Borac Banja Luka are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FK Borac Banja Luka are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Borac Banja Luka 1-1 FK BSK Banja Luka (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).