CDU San Martin vs CSDC Alianza Universidad
Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 2. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima.
What's at stake. CDU San Martin are 5th on 24 points after 16 games, 1 point behind Molinos El Pirata, 3 points clear of Deportiva Agropecuaria. A win would take them above Molinos El Pirata. CSDC Alianza Universidad are 5th on 21 points after 16 games, 4 points behind Sport Huancayo 2, level on points with Santos. CDU San Martin have nothing left to play for. CSDC Alianza Universidad have nothing left to play for.
Form. CDU San Martin have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition CDU San Martin have gone L D L W W L. CSDC Alianza Universidad have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition CSDC Alianza Universidad have gone D D D L W D.
The numbers. CDU San Martin score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CDU San Martin average 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CSDC Alianza Universidad score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CSDC Alianza Universidad average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CDU San Martin have won one, drawn four and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and CSDC Alianza Universidad won three. The last time they met, on 15 Oct 2023, it finished CDU San Martin 1-3 CSDC Alianza Universidad.
Where it pulls both ways. CDU San Martin are the form side, but the meetings favour CSDC Alianza Universidad: in the last nine meetings, CDU San Martin won one, CSDC Alianza Universidad won four and four were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CDU San Martin or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CSDC Alianza Universidad or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CDU San Martin or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: CDU San Martin 1-1 CSDC Alianza Universidad (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).