Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 2. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Huancayo, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Union Minas are 3rd on 25 points after 16 games, 1 point behind Comerciantes, level on points with Sport Huancayo 2. A win would take them above Comerciantes. Union Comercio are 1st on 32 points after 16 games, 2 points clear of Carlos A. Mannucci. Union Minas have nothing left to play for.
Form. Union Minas have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. In this competition Union Minas have gone L W D W D W. Union Comercio have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition Union Comercio have gone W L W D D W.
The numbers. Union Minas score 2.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Union Minas average 12.0 shots (4.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Union Comercio score 1.2 and concede 0.3 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Union Comercio average 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 83% on the records (Union Minas: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Union Comercio: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union Minas 1-1 Union Comercio (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).