Match details. National League Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Damson Park, Solihull.
Form. Solihull Moors FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Solihull Moors FC have gone L. Newcastle United U21 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Newcastle United U21 have gone L L.
The numbers. Solihull Moors FC score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Newcastle United U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game in their last seven away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. Solihull Moors FC's record still gives them 44% to win.
The read. Newcastle United U21 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Newcastle United U21 the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Newcastle United U21. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Solihull Moors FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Newcastle United U21); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Solihull Moors FC 1-2 Newcastle United U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).