AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21
Match details. National League Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hornchurch Stadium, London.
Form. AFC Hornchurch have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition AFC Hornchurch have gone W. Fulham U21 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Fulham U21 have gone L.
The numbers. AFC Hornchurch score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Fulham U21 score 1.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 72%.
The read. No firm call: AFC Hornchurch are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AFC Hornchurch the likelier winners; AFC Hornchurch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AFC Hornchurch. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Fulham U21 Over 0.5 goals (AFC Hornchurch's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AFC Hornchurch Over 1.5 goals (AFC Hornchurch's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Fulham U21 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).