Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 2. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pirata FC are 4th on 25 points after 16 games, 3 points behind Deportivo Llacuabamba, 1 point clear of U. San Martin. A win would take them level on points with Deportivo Llacuabamba. Ayacucho FC are 7th on 19 points after 16 games, 2 points behind Santos, 2 points clear of Estudiantil CNI. A win would take them above Santos. Pirata FC have nothing left to play for. Ayacucho FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Pirata FC have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition Pirata FC have gone L D L D L D. Ayacucho FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Ayacucho FC have gone W L L W L W.
The numbers. Pirata FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Pirata FC average 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Ayacucho FC score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ayacucho FC average 13.8 shots (5.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Pirata FC have won three, drawn none and lost three. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Pirata FC won two and Ayacucho FC won two. The last time they met, on 8 Sep 2024, it finished Pirata FC 3-1 Ayacucho FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (Pirata FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Ayacucho FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Pirata FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ayacucho FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Pirata FC 2-1 Ayacucho FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).