FC Trollhattan vs Mjallby AIF
Match details. This is the Svenska Cup Final. It kicks off on Tue 6 Oct at 16:00 Lagos time. The game is at Edsborgs IP in Trollhättan.
What's at stake. It is a single match. If it ends level, it goes to penalties.
Form. FC Trollhattan have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five are D W W W W. Mjallby AIF have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five are L D D L L.
The numbers. At home Trollhattan score three and concede 1.2 per game in the last five, keeping one clean sheet. They average 17.1 shots (9.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Away Mjallby score 0.4 and concede 2.2 per game in the last five, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 10.5 shots (3.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, holding 40% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Trollhattan have drawn both, with no wins or losses. One of those games went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in both matches. The last meeting on 9 Oct 2016 ended 1-1.
Where it pulls both ways. The odds board lists Trollhattan at 15% while the records suggest a 70% chance.
The read. No firm call: FC Trollhattan are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Trollhattan the likelier winners; FC Trollhattan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Trollhattan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Mjallby AIF or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Trollhattan); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Trollhattan 2-1 Mjallby AIF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).