Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands
Match details. CONCACAF Nations League, League C - 1. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It's at Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa, Serra, Espírito Santo.
Form. Montserrat have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five are W W W L W. Turks and Caicos Islands have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five are W W L L W.
The numbers. Montserrat score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Turks and Caicos Islands score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 13.3 shots (3.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met on 23 Sep 2026, Montserrat won 2-0. Montserrat had 14 shots to 2, 56% of the ball and collected six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Both sides show an open game on paper. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The case against. Turks and Caicos Islands's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Montserrat to win. Their goals for and against make Montserrat the likelier winners. Montserrat are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Montserrat.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Turks and Caicos Islands Under 0.5 goals (Montserrat's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Montserrat are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Montserrat 2-0 Turks and Caicos Islands (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).