Avia Swidnik vs OKS Swit Szczecin
Match details. II Liga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Avia Swidnik are 12th on 11 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Olimpia Grudziądz, 1 point clear of Stal Stalowa Wola. OKS Swit Szczecin are 17th on 8 points after 10 games, level on points with Sokół Kleczew, 4 points clear of Resovia Rzeszów. A win would take them above Sokół Kleczew.
Form. Avia Swidnik have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Avia Swidnik have gone D D L L L L. OKS Swit Szczecin have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition OKS Swit Szczecin have gone W L L W D D.
The numbers. Avia Swidnik score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Avia Swidnik average 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. OKS Swit Szczecin score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. OKS Swit Szczecin average 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. OKS Swit Szczecin's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Avia Swidnik to win. An open game. Avia Swidnik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Avia Swidnik. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (Avia Swidnik: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; OKS Swit Szczecin: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Avia Swidnik or Both Teams Score at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); OKS Swit Szczecin Over 0.5 goals (OKS Swit Szczecin's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Avia Swidnik 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Avia Swidnik 2-1 OKS Swit Szczecin (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).