Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff. The referee is N. Pratt.
What's at stake. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are 7th on 21 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Colwyn Bay, 3 points clear of Airbus UK. A win would take them above Colwyn Bay. Trefelin BGC are 15th on 3 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Ammanford AFC, 1 point clear of Holywell. A win would take them level on points with Ammanford AFC.
Form. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Trefelin BGC have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC average 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Trefelin BGC score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Trefelin BGC average 2.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cardiff Metropolitan University FC the likelier winners; Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cardiff Metropolitan University FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Trefelin BGC Under 1.5 goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 2-1 Trefelin BGC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 5 of 5 (100%) · TRE 5 of 5 (100%)93.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Trefelin BGC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC GOALS
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 4 of 5 (80%) · TRE 5 of 5 (100%)85.6%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Trefelin BGC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
CAR 5 of 5 (100%) · TRE 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Trefelin BGC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
2nd Half - Cardiff Metropolitan University FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.28
CAR 4 of 5 (80%) · TRE 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Trefelin BGC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's level
Left off the list: Trefelin BGC Under 1.5 goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Cardiff Metropolitan… goals →
Trefelin BGC goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-011%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.8%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FCWWDLDDWWLL1.50 PPG
TREFELIN BGCLLDLLDLDLL0.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC HOMExTREFELIN BGC AWAY
1.92SCORED A GAME0.421.08CONCEDED A GAME2.5040%CLEAN SHEETS0%25%FAILED TO SCORE58%3.18CORNERS A GAME2.561.45CARDS A GAME1.56
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME0.30+1.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.20+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.411LEAGUE GAMES10
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FC OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
TREFELIN BGC OR DRAW
35%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CARDIFF METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY FCxTREFELIN BGC
5GAMES62.80SCORED A GAME0.501.00CONCEDED A GAME2.503.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%60%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Trefelin BGC have scored in 50% of their games.
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Trefelin BGC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards