NONKO

14:30Fri 9 Oct

NKK

NK Opatija vs NK Kustosija Zagreb

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Kantrida, Rijeka.

What's at stake. NK Opatija are 14th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Vukovar, level on points with Hrvace. A win would take them above Vukovar. NK Kustosija Zagreb are 16th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Hrvace. A win would take them above Hrvace.

Form. NK Opatija have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. NK Kustosija Zagreb have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.

The numbers. NK Opatija score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. NK Opatija average 9.3 shots (3.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. NK Kustosija Zagreb score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Kustosija Zagreb average 9.8 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last six meetings NK Opatija have won two, drawn two and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, NK Opatija won two, one was drawn and NK Kustosija Zagreb won one. The last time they met, on 1 Jun 2024, it finished NK Opatija 0-1 NK Kustosija Zagreb.

The case against. NK Kustosija Zagreb's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. NK Opatija to win. A tight game. NK Opatija are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Opatija. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: NK Opatija 1-0 NK Kustosija Zagreb (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKO 5 of 5 (100%) · NKK 7 of 7 (100%)95.4%

NK Opatija: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · NK Kustosija Zagreb: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · NK Opatija: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Opatija's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKO 4 of 5 (80%) · NKK 7 of 7 (100%)88.4%

NK Opatija: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Kustosija Zagreb: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · NK Opatija: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Opatija's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKO 4 of 5 (80%) · NKK 4 of 6 (67%)73%

NK Opatija's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · NK Kustosija Zagreb's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · NK Opatija: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Opatija's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.6%

NK Opatija goals →

NK Kustosija Zagreb goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK OPATIJAWLWDLWLLLW1.30 PPG

NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREBDDWLDLDLWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK OPATIJA HOMExNK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE57%4.33CORNERS A GAME4.252.22CARDS A GAME2.38

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME0.86-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NK OPATIJA OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK OPATIJAxNK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES0.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS0%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE0%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

NK OPATIJA 2 · 33%DRAW 2NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB 2 · 33%

2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-11-21NK Opatija 1 – 2 NK Kustosija Zagreb

2021-05-12NK Opatija 0 – 0 NK Kustosija Zagreb

2021-08-28NK Opatija 0 – 0 NK Kustosija Zagreb

2022-02-26NK Opatija 2 – 1 NK Kustosija Zagreb

2023-11-24NK Opatija 2 – 0 NK Kustosija Zagreb

2024-06-01NK Opatija 0 – 1 NK Kustosija Zagreb

TRENDS

NK Opatija have scored in 90% of their games.

NK Kustosija Zagreb have scored in 60% of their games.

NK Opatija kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

NK Kustosija Zagreb kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards