NSNKS

14:00Fri 9 Oct

NKJ

NK Sesvete vs NK Jadran LP

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. NK Sesvete are 7th on 9 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Mladost Ždralovi, level on points with Dinamo Zagreb U21. A win would take them above Mladost Ždralovi. NK Jadran LP are 1st on 14 points after 7 games, 1 point clear of Croatia Zmijavci.

Form. NK Sesvete have won three, drawn none and lost four of their last seven, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. In this competition NK Sesvete have gone L L W W L L. NK Jadran LP have won four, drawn two and lost one of their last seven, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition NK Jadran LP have gone W W W L D W.

The numbers. NK Sesvete score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Sesvete average 10.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. NK Jadran LP score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets. NK Jadran LP average 16.8 shots (6.8 on target), 7.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings NK Sesvete have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2023, it finished NK Sesvete 1-1 NK Jadran LP.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 57%.

The read. No firm call: NK Jadran LP are the better side, but not at this price. NK Jadran LP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Jadran LP.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: NK Sesvete 1-1 NK Jadran LP (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 7 of 7 (100%) · NKJ 7 of 7 (100%)95.9%

NK Sesvete: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 7 of 7 (100%) · NKJ 7 of 7 (100%)92.7%

NK Sesvete: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 7 of 7 (100%) · NKJ 5 of 7 (71%)89.7%

NK Sesvete: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.37

NKS 6 of 7 (86%) · NKJ 4 of 7 (57%)70.3%

NK Sesvete: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.83

NKS 3 of 7 (43%) · NKJ 4 of 7 (57%)52.5%

NK Sesvete: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP: both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

NK SESVETE GOALS

NK Sesvete Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 5 of 7 (71%) · NKJ 5 of 7 (71%)69.2%

NK Sesvete scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

NK Sesvete Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

NKS 4 of 7 (57%) · NKJ 5 of 7 (71%)62%

NK Sesvete scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Jadran LP conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level

NK JADRAN LP GOALS

NK Jadran LP Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.40

NKS 6 of 7 (86%) · NKJ 5 of 7 (71%)69.8%

NK Jadran LP scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Sesvete conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · NK Jadran LP: only games against sides at NK Sesvete's level · NK Sesvete: only games against sides at NK Jadran LP's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

NK Sesvete goals →

NK Jadran LP goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 7

NK SESVETEWLLWWLL1.29 PPG

NK JADRAN LPDWDLWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK SESVETE HOMExNK JADRAN LP AWAY

1.29SCORED A GAME1.711.14CONCEDED A GAME1.0029%CLEAN SHEETS29%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.33CORNERS A GAME7.252.11CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME2.00+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.71+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES7

NK Jadran LP: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

NK JADRAN LP 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NK SESVETE OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

NK JADRAN LP OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK SESVETExNK JADRAN LP

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

NK SESVETE 0 · 0%DRAW 1NK JADRAN LP 1 · 50%

2022-08-26NK Sesvete 0 – 1 NK Jadran LP

2023-03-04NK Sesvete 1 – 1 NK Jadran LP

TRENDS

NK Sesvete have scored in 80% of their games.

NK Jadran LP have scored in 90% of their games.

NK Sesvete failed to score in 29% of their games.

NK Jadran LP failed to score in 14% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards