Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs FK Suduva Marijampole
Match details. TOPLYGA, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:15 Lagos time. It is played at LFF stadionas, Vilnius.
What's at stake. Vilnius FK Zalgiris are 4th on 44 points after 28 games, 1 point behind TransINVEST Vilnius, 3 points clear of Banga. A win would take them above TransINVEST Vilnius. FK Suduva Marijampole are 2nd on 50 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Kauno Žalgiris, 5 points clear of TransINVEST Vilnius. A win would take them above Kauno Žalgiris. Vilnius FK Zalgiris have nothing left to play for, while FK Suduva Marijampole need the win.
Form. Vilnius FK Zalgiris have won five, drawn one and lost three of their last nine, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition Vilnius FK Zalgiris have gone L W D W L W. FK Suduva Marijampole have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. In this competition FK Suduva Marijampole have gone D D L W W W.
The numbers. Vilnius FK Zalgiris score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Vilnius FK Zalgiris average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FK Suduva Marijampole score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. FK Suduva Marijampole average 5.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Vilnius FK Zalgiris have won five, drawn five and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Vilnius FK Zalgiris won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 13 Sep 2026, it finished Vilnius FK Zalgiris 0-0 FK Suduva Marijampole.
Where it pulls both ways. FK Suduva Marijampole are the form side, but the meetings favour Vilnius FK Zalgiris: in the last ten meetings, Vilnius FK Zalgiris won five and five were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Vilnius FK Zalgiris or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Suduva Marijampole or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Suduva Marijampole or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Vilnius FK Zalgiris 1-1 FK Suduva Marijampole (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).