Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United FC
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kariobangi Sharks have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Mombasa United FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.
The numbers. Kariobangi Sharks score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Kariobangi Sharks average 10.1 shots (3.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Mombasa United FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mombasa United FC average 13.8 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
The case against. Mombasa United FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Kariobangi Sharks to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kariobangi Sharks the likelier winners; Kariobangi Sharks are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 83% on the records (Kariobangi Sharks: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Mombasa United FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Kariobangi Sharks or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mombasa United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kariobangi Sharks); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Both Teams to Score - No (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 Mombasa United FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).