Match details. Division 2, Norra Götaland - 25. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. IK Tord are 12th on 21 points after 24 games, 5 points behind Kumla, 8 points clear of IF Karlstad II. Grebbestads IF are 5th on 39 points after 24 games, 4 points behind Ahlafors, 2 points clear of Herrestads. IK Tord have nothing left to play for. Grebbestads IF have nothing left to play for.
Form. IK Tord have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition IK Tord have gone W L W L L W. Grebbestads IF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition Grebbestads IF have gone L W W W L L.
The numbers. IK Tord score 1.4 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Grebbestads IF score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last three meetings IK Tord have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished IK Tord 0-3 Grebbestads IF.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. IK Tord's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Grebbestads IF to win. Grebbestads IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Grebbestads IF.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: IK Tord Under 1.5 goals (Grebbestads IF's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: IK Tord 0-1 Grebbestads IF (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).