Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar.
What's at stake. FC Irtysh Pavlodar are 11th on 26 points after 25 games, 3 points behind Kaspiy, 1 point clear of Kyzyl-Zhar. A win would take them level on points with Kaspiy. FC Kyzylzhar SK are 12th on 25 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Irtysh, 1 point clear of Kaisar. A win would take them above Irtysh.
Form. FC Irtysh Pavlodar have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition FC Irtysh Pavlodar have gone W W L W L L. FC Kyzylzhar SK have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition FC Kyzylzhar SK have gone D L L L D D.
The numbers. FC Irtysh Pavlodar score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Irtysh Pavlodar average 0.9 corners and 0.3 cards a game. FC Kyzylzhar SK score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Kyzylzhar SK average 0.6 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Irtysh Pavlodar have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and FC Kyzylzhar SK won two. The last time they met, on 29 Apr 2026, it finished FC Irtysh Pavlodar 1-2 FC Kyzylzhar SK.
Where it pulls both ways. FC Irtysh Pavlodar are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Kyzylzhar SK: in the last six meetings, FC Irtysh Pavlodar won one, FC Kyzylzhar SK won three and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 FC Kyzylzhar SK (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).