Forge FC Hamilton vs Pacific FC
Match details. Canadian Premier League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton. The referee is I. Jecanski.
What's at stake. Forge FC Hamilton are 2nd on 48 points after 24 games, 5 points behind Cavalry FC, 8 points clear of Atlético Ottawa. Pacific FC are 8th on 14 points after 24 games, 13 points behind York United. Forge FC Hamilton have nothing left to play for. Pacific FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Forge FC Hamilton have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. In this competition Forge FC Hamilton have gone D D D W D L. Pacific FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Pacific FC have gone L W D L D D.
The numbers. Forge FC Hamilton score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Forge FC Hamilton average 14.5 shots (4.7 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Pacific FC score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Pacific FC average 12.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Forge FC Hamilton have won eight, drawn one and lost one. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Forge FC Hamilton won four. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Forge FC Hamilton 2-0 Pacific FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Forge FC Hamilton are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Forge FC Hamilton the likelier winners; Forge FC Hamilton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forge FC Hamilton; the meetings favour Forge FC Hamilton. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Forge FC Hamilton or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Forge FC Hamilton or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Forge FC Hamilton 1-1 Pacific FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).