Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Rugao Olympic Sports Center.
Form. Nantong Zhiyun have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Ningbo Professional FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D.
The numbers. Nantong Zhiyun score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nantong Zhiyun average 6.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Ningbo Professional FC score 0.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ningbo Professional FC average 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Ningbo Professional FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Nantong Zhiyun to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Nantong Zhiyun the likelier winners; Nantong Zhiyun are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nantong Zhiyun. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. Best bet: Nantong Zhiyun or Draw at 1.11, 77% on the records (Nantong Zhiyun unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Ningbo Professional FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Nantong Zhiyun Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Nantong Zhiyun are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Nantong Zhiyun are a clear winner, no Unders); Nantong Zhiyun or draw and under 3.5 goals (Nantong Zhiyun are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 Ningbo Professional FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).