Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Jiangxi Dingnan United have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Meizhou Hakka have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. Jiangxi Dingnan United score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Jiangxi Dingnan United average 5.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Meizhou Hakka score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Meizhou Hakka average 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (Jiangxi Dingnan United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Meizhou Hakka: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Jiangxi Dingnan United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Jiangxi Dingnan United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Meizhou Hakka or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jiangxi Dingnan United 2-1 Meizhou Hakka (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).