Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Development Area Stadium, Changchun.
Form. Changchun Yatai have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Yanbian Longding have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Changchun Yatai score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Changchun Yatai average 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Yanbian Longding score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Yanbian Longding average 3.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. Changchun Yatai to win. Their goals for and against make Changchun Yatai the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Changchun Yatai.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Yanbian Longding Over 0.5 goals (Changchun Yatai's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Changchun Yatai 1-0 Yanbian Longding (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).