Match details. It's a NM Cup Round of 32 clash. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. We meet at NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss.
What's at stake. One game decides it. If it ends level, it goes to penalties.
Form. Raufoss IL have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five read L W W L L. IK Start have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five are L W W L W.
The numbers. Raufoss IL score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five, no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 10.0 shots (4.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. IK Start score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five, no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 15.6 shots (4.9 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below. Raufoss IL's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. IK Start or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make IK Start the likelier winners; IK Start are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IK Start and point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); IK Start Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Raufoss IL Over 0.5 goals (Raufoss IL's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Raufoss IL 1-2 IK Start (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
IK Start or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAU 5 of 5 (100%) · IKS 5 of 5 (100%)98.5%
IK Start: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · the call is IK Start or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
IK Start or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.18
RAU 4 of 5 (80%) · IKS 5 of 5 (100%)85%
IK Start: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · the call is IK Start or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
IK Start win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.10
RAU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 5 of 5 (100%)78.1%
IK Start: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · the call is IK Start or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
IK Start (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.18
RAU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)70.9%
IK Start won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Raufoss IL lost 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · won 7, refunded 0, lost 3
IK Start or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
RAU 4 of 5 (80%) · IKS 3 of 5 (60%)70.9%
Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · IK Start: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
IK Start 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.24
RAU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 4 of 9 (44%)61.5%
IK Start scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Raufoss IL trailed in 4 of 5 at home · the call is IK Start or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
GOALS
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
RAU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)69%
Raufoss IL: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · IK Start: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
RAU 5 of 5 (100%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%
Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · IK Start: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
RAU 4 of 5 (80%) · IKS 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · IK Start: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - IK Start Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.39
RAU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKS 5 of 5 (100%)75%
IK Start: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Raufoss IL: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (78%) and the records (98%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); IK Start Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (38%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Raufoss IL Over 0.5 goals (Raufoss IL's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); IK Start to Win (the numbers (47%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); IK Start Over 1.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: IK Start (the numbers (48%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Raufoss IL Under 1.5 goals (IK Start's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.4%
Raufoss IL goals →
IK Start goals ↓
0-07%
1-06%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.7%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
RAUFOSS ILLWWLLLWLLL0.90 PPG
IK STARTLWWLWWLLWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RAUFOSS IL HOMExIK START AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.302.90CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.00CORNERS A GAME7.002.00CARDS A GAME1.67
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.90POINTS A GAME1.00-2.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.78-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.50.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES9
IK Start: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
RAUFOSS IL OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
IK START OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
RAUFOSS ILxIK START
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.203.60CONCEDED A GAME1.404.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–14.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Raufoss IL have scored in 70% of their games.
IK Start have scored in 50% of their games.
Raufoss IL kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
IK Start kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards