Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla
Match details. Division 2, Norra Götaland - 25. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Vanersborgs FK are 8th on 28 points after 24 games, 5 points behind Stenungsund, 1 point clear of Lidköping. IFK Kumla are 11th on 25 points after 24 games, 1 point behind Motala, 4 points clear of Tord. A win would take them above Motala. Vanersborgs FK have nothing left to play for. IFK Kumla have nothing left to play for.
Form. Vanersborgs FK have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Vanersborgs FK have gone L L L W W W. IFK Kumla have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition IFK Kumla have gone L W L D D L.
The numbers. Vanersborgs FK score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Vanersborgs FK average 3.2 corners and 0.7 cards a game. IFK Kumla score 0.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. IFK Kumla average 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Vanersborgs FK have won three, drawn one and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Vanersborgs FK won two, one was drawn and IFK Kumla won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Vanersborgs FK 0-0 IFK Kumla.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. IFK Kumla's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Vanersborgs FK to win. An open game. Vanersborgs FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vanersborgs FK. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (Vanersborgs FK: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; IFK Kumla: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Vanersborgs FK or IFK Kumla at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: IFK Kumla or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Vanersborgs FK); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); IFK Kumla or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Vanersborgs FK). Predicted score: Vanersborgs FK 2-1 IFK Kumla (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).