Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 02:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The referee is Andres Rojas.
What's at stake. CD Once Caldas are 12th on 13 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Águilas Doradas, level on points with Internacional de Bogota. A win would take them above Águilas Doradas. Llaneros FC are 10th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Cucuta, level on points with Águilas Doradas. A win would take them above Cucuta.
Form. CD Once Caldas have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition CD Once Caldas have gone D L L W L L. Llaneros FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Llaneros FC have gone L L W L L L.
The numbers. CD Once Caldas score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Once Caldas average 15.0 shots (4.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Llaneros FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Llaneros FC average 10.4 shots (3.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 4.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings CD Once Caldas have won one, drawn one and lost one. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2026, it finished CD Once Caldas 1-1 Llaneros FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Once Caldas the likelier winners, but Llaneros FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, 74% on the records (CD Once Caldas: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Llaneros FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CD Once Caldas Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Once Caldas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Llaneros FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Once Caldas 1-1 Llaneros FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).