Mexico vs Chile

Match details. It's an international friendly at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Being a friendly, no points are on the line.

Form. Mexico have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Chile have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.

The numbers. At home Mexico score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last seven, keeping six clean sheets. They average 13.3 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners, 1.7 cards and 52% possession. Away Chile score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. They average 10.8 shots (2.2 on target), 4.0 corners, 2.0 cards and 49% possession.

Head to head. In their last two meetings Mexico have won none, drawn one and lost one. Both games went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last meeting on 19 Jun 2016 ended 0-7 to Chile, with Mexico having nine shots to 21, 42% possession and three yellow cards.

The case against. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.

The read. Mexico to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Mexico the likelier winners; Mexico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mexico.

The bets. Best bet: Mexico or Draw at 1.15, 90% on the records (Mexico unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home; Chile failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Chile Under 1.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mexico Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Mexico or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Mexico are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Mexico 3-0 Chile (10% chance).