Match details. Jordan face Venezuela in an international friendly. Kick-off is set for Tue 6 Oct at 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. There are no points riding on this match since it is a friendly.
Form. Jordan have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten matches, picking up 1.6 points a game. Their last five games have been rough, ending with three losses, one draw and one win. Venezuela have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, picking up 1.0 points a game. Their last five ended win, loss, loss, loss, win.
The numbers. Jordan score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, keeping only one clean sheet. They average 7.9 shots with 3.4 on target, 3.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 31% of the ball. Venezuela score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 9.4 shots with 4.0 on target, 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 35% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. That said, their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The case against. Venezuela's record still gives them a 31% chance to win this. Not everything agrees on the goal front either, as their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The read. Jordan to win. A tight game. Jordan are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Jordan. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (Jordan: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Venezuela: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Jordan to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways); Jordan or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Jordan 1-0 Venezuela (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).