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INTERNATIONAL - INT. FRIENDLY GAMES
Jordan crestJORJOR
18:00Tue 6 Oct
VENVenezuela crestVEN

Jordan vs Venezuela

CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Jordan crestJORvVenezuela crestVEN
Under 3.5 Goals
Jordan v Venezuela
International - Int… · 18:00
1.23odds
81%book
+1edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. Jordan face Venezuela in an international friendly. Kick-off is set for Tue 6 Oct at 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. There are no points riding on this match since it is a friendly.

Form. Jordan have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten matches, picking up 1.6 points a game. Their last five games have been rough, ending with three losses, one draw and one win. Venezuela have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, picking up 1.0 points a game. Their last five ended win, loss, loss, loss, win.

The numbers. Jordan score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, keeping only one clean sheet. They average 7.9 shots with 3.4 on target, 3.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 31% of the ball. Venezuela score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 9.4 shots with 4.0 on target, 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 35% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. That said, their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The case against. Venezuela's record still gives them a 31% chance to win this. Not everything agrees on the goal front either, as their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The read. Jordan to win. A tight game. Jordan are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Jordan. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (Jordan: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Venezuela: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Jordan to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways); Jordan or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Jordan 1-0 Venezuela (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Jordan or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.15
JOR 3 of 6 (50%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)67.4%
Jordan: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Venezuela: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against
Jordan (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
JOR 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)63%
Jordan won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Venezuela lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 7, refunded 1, lost 3
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
JOR 4 of 6 (67%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)81.6%
Jordan: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Venezuela: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 62% · each game weighed by who it was against
JORDAN GOALS
Jordan Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.27
JOR 5 of 6 (83%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)68.4%
Jordan scored in 5 of 6 at home · Venezuela conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against
VENEZUELA GOALS
Venezuela Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
JOR 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 5 of 6 (83%)57.2%
Venezuela scored in 3 of 5 away · Jordan conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.15
JOR 6 of 6 (100%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%
Jordan: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Venezuela: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
JOR 5 of 6 (83%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)74.4%
Jordan: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Venezuela: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Jordan to Win Either Half: Yes (the numbers (55%) and the records (77%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Jordan or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (52%) and the records (49%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.4%
Jordan goals →
Venezuela goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
JORDANLWWWWWDLLL1.60 PPG
VENEZUELALDLLWWLLLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
JORDAN HOMExVENEZUELA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.501.30CONCEDED A GAME2.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.67CORNERS A GAME2.711.00CARDS A GAME2.00
TRENDS
Jordan have scored in 90% of their games.
Venezuela have scored in 70% of their games.
Jordan kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Venezuela kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards
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