Algeria vs Niger

Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct at 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. There's no points on the line, it's just a friendly.

Form. Algeria have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Niger have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.

The numbers. Algeria score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. They average 11.9 shots (3.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, holding 60% of the ball. Niger score 0.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 6.7 shots (2.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 40% possession.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Algeria have won five, drawn one and lost none. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four meetings Algeria won three and one was drawn. The last time they met on 18 Aug 2025 it finished Algeria 0-0 Niger.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 60%.

The read. No firm call: Algeria are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Algeria the likelier winners; Algeria are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Algeria; the meetings favour Algeria. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Algeria are a clear winner, no Unders); Niger Under 0.5 goals (Algeria's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Niger Under 1.5 goals (Algeria's own games don't back it (3 of 5)). Predicted score: Algeria 3-0 Niger (13% chance).