Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Estudiantes have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Deportivo Moron have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. CA Estudiantes score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Estudiantes average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Deportivo Moron score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Moron average 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Estudiantes the likelier winners, but Deportivo Moron are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CA Estudiantes 1-1 Deportivo Moron (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
CAE 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)93.9%
CA Estudiantes: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Moron: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CA Estudiantes: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at CA Estudiantes's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAE 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)90.1%
CA Estudiantes: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Moron: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CA Estudiantes: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at CA Estudiantes's level
Under 3.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
CAE 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)67.8%
CA Estudiantes: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Moron: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CA Estudiantes: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at CA Estudiantes's level
CA ESTUDIANTES GOALS
CA Estudiantes Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.59
CAE 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
CA Estudiantes scored in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Moron conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CA Estudiantes: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at CA Estudiantes's level
DEPORTIVO MORON GOALS
Deportivo Moron Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
CAE 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)64.6%
Deportivo Moron scored in 4 of 5 away · CA Estudiantes conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Moron: only games against sides at CA Estudiantes's level · CA Estudiantes: only games against sides at Deportivo Moron's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.3%
CA Estudiantes goals →
Deportivo Moron goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CA ESTUDIANTESLWWWLDLWLD1.40 PPG
DEPORTIVO MORONWLLWWWDDWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA ESTUDIANTES HOMExDEPORTIVO MORON AWAY
0.91SCORED A GAME1.590.84CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%BOTH SCORED80%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.34CORNERS A GAME3.812.69CARDS A GAME2.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.67+0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.42+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA ESTUDIANTES OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
DEPORTIVO MORON OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA ESTUDIANTESxDEPORTIVO MORON
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE100%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.810.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Estudiantes have scored in 70% of their games.
Deportivo Moron have scored in 90% of their games.
CA Estudiantes kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Deportivo Moron kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards