ARGENTINA - PRIMERA NACIONAL
19:30Sun 11 Oct
CAS
CS
Club Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
73
1UP
Class E
Club Almirante Brown 1UP
Club Almirante Brown v CA San Miguel
1.67odds
60%book
+13edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Club Almirante Brown have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. CA San Miguel have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Club Almirante Brown score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Almirante Brown average 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CA San Miguel score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA San Miguel average 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. Club Almirante Brown to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Club Almirante Brown the likelier winners; Club Almirante Brown are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Almirante Brown. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Club Almirante Brown 1UP at 1.56, 73% on the records (Club Almirante Brown scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3; led in 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11 (75%). Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Club Almirante Brown (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Almirante Brown 1-0 CA San Miguel (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Club Almirante Brown or DrawIN CODES
1.22
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)87%
Club Almirante Brown unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
Club Almirante Brown or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.19
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Club Almirante Brown scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
Club Almirante Brown (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.40
CLU 4 of 8 (50%) · CAS 7 of 8 (88%)82.2%
Club Almirante Brown won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CA San Miguel lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
Club Almirante Brown 1UPMAININ CODES
1.67
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Club Almirante Brown scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel trailed in 5 of 5 away · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)97.8%
Club Almirante Brown: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
Under 3.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.10
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
Club Almirante Brown: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 2 of 5 (40%)76.8%
Club Almirante Brown: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
CLUB ALMIRANTE BROWN GOALS
Club Almirante Brown Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.39
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)63.7%
Club Almirante Brown scored in 3 of 5 at home · CA San Miguel conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level
CA SAN MIGUEL GOALS
CA San Miguel Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)86%
CA San Miguel scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · Club Almirante Brown conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · CA San Miguel: only games against sides at Club Almirante Brown's level · Club Almirante Brown: only games against sides at CA San Miguel's level
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: Club Almirante Brown (the numbers (48%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.1%
Club Almirante Brown goals →
CA San Miguel goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CLUB ALMIRANTE BROWNLLLDDWWLWW1.40 PPG
CA SAN MIGUELLLDDLLLLWL0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB ALMIRANTE BROWN HOMExCA SAN MIGUEL AWAY
0.78SCORED A GAME0.780.66CONCEDED A GAME1.1920%BOTH SCORED60%60%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.61CORNERS A GAME4.432.00CARDS A GAME2.53
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CA SAN MIGUEL 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME0.29+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.20.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.49LEAGUE GAMES7
Club Almirante Brown: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
28%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CLUB ALMIRANTE BROWN OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CA SAN MIGUEL OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CLUB ALMIRANTE BROWNxCA SAN MIGUEL
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.601.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.620%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Club Almirante Brown have scored in 60% of their games.
CA San Miguel have scored in 70% of their games.
Club Almirante Brown kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
CA San Miguel kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards