CA Atlanta vs San Martin de Tucuman
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CA Atlanta are 3rd on 55 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Temperley, 1 point clear of Gimnasia Jujuy. A win would take them above Temperley. San Martin de Tucuman are 10th on 43 points after 32 games, 2 points behind San Martin S.J., 1 point clear of Atletico DE Rafaela. A win would take them above San Martin S.J..
Form. CA Atlanta have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition CA Atlanta have gone W W D W W L. San Martin de Tucuman have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition San Martin de Tucuman have gone W D L W L D.
The numbers. CA Atlanta score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Atlanta average 3.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. San Martin de Tucuman score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. San Martin de Tucuman average 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CA Atlanta have won three, drawn one and lost two. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, CA Atlanta won two, one was drawn and San Martin de Tucuman won one. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished CA Atlanta 1-0 San Martin de Tucuman.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. San Martin de Tucuman's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. CA Atlanta to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CA Atlanta the likelier winners; CA Atlanta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Atlanta. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Atlanta or Draw at 1.25, 75% on the records (CA Atlanta unbeaten in 7 of 10; San Martin de Tucuman failed to win 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CA Atlanta or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CA Atlanta or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CA Atlanta 2-1 San Martin de Tucuman (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).