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20:30Sat 10 Oct

ATL

CA Ferrocarril Midland vs Atletico de Rafaela

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

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Double Chance: CA Ferrocarril…

CA Ferrocarril Midland v Atletico de Rafaela

Argentina - Primera… · 20:30

1.17odds

85%book

-4edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires.

What's at stake. CA Ferrocarril Midland are 5th on 48 points after 32 games, 6 points behind Gimnasia Jujuy, level on points with Gimnasia Y Tiro. Atletico de Rafaela are 11th on 42 points after 32 games, 1 point behind San Martin Tucuman, 3 points clear of Quilmes. A win would take them above San Martin Tucuman.

Form. CA Ferrocarril Midland have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. Atletico de Rafaela have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.

The numbers. CA Ferrocarril Midland score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Ferrocarril Midland average 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Atletico de Rafaela score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Atletico de Rafaela average 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished CA Ferrocarril Midland 0-1 Atletico de Rafaela.

The case against. Atletico de Rafaela's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. CA Ferrocarril Midland to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Ferrocarril Midland the likelier winners; CA Ferrocarril Midland are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The bets. Best bet: CA Ferrocarril Midland or Draw at 1.16, 78% on the records (CA Ferrocarril Midland unbeaten in 5 of 9; Atletico de Rafaela failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-0 Atletico de Rafaela (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CA Ferrocarril Midland or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.14

CAF 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)85.9%

CA Ferrocarril Midland scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

Double Chance: CA Ferrocarril Midland or DrawMAININ CODES

1.17

CAF 5 of 9 (56%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%

CA Ferrocarril Midland unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

CA Ferrocarril Midland or draw and under 3.5 goalsIN CODES

1.34

CAF 5 of 9 (56%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)74.7%

CA Ferrocarril Midland: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

CA Ferrocarril Midland 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

CAF 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)68.9%

CA Ferrocarril Midland scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela trailed in 4 of 5 away · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

CA Ferrocarril Midland to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.75

CAF 3 of 9 (33%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)52%

CA Ferrocarril Midland won 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 37% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAF 9 of 9 (100%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)95.7%

CA Ferrocarril Midland: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

Under 3.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.16

CAF 8 of 9 (89%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)77%

CA Ferrocarril Midland: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

CAF 6 of 9 (67%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)57.9%

CA Ferrocarril Midland: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND GOALS

CA Ferrocarril Midland Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

CAF 6 of 9 (67%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)76.6%

CA Ferrocarril Midland scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico de Rafaela conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · CA Ferrocarril Midland: only games against sides at Atletico de Rafaela's level · Atletico de Rafaela: only games against sides at CA Ferrocarril Midland's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the numbers (65%) and the records (91%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.5%

CA Ferrocarril Midland goals →

Atletico de Rafaela goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLANDDLWWLLWLDD1.20 PPG

ATLETICO DE RAFAELALLWLLWDDWD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND HOMExATLETICO DE RAFAELA AWAY

1.06SCORED A GAME0.840.81CONCEDED A GAME0.9440%CLEAN SHEETS30%28%FAILED TO SCORE41%4.16CORNERS A GAME4.412.16CARDS A GAME2.78

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

ATLETICO DE RAFAELA 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME1.27+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.09-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES11

CA Ferrocarril Midland: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

26%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 85/90

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ATLETICO DE RAFAELA OR DRAW

23%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLANDxATLETICO DE RAFAELA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME2.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND 0 · 0%DRAW 0ATLETICO DE RAFAELA 1 · 100%

2026-05-23CA Ferrocarril Midland 0 – 1 Atletico de Rafaela

TRENDS

CA Ferrocarril Midland have scored in 70% of their games.

Atletico de Rafaela have scored in 60% of their games.

CA Ferrocarril Midland kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Atletico de Rafaela kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards