Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Charrúa , Montevideo. The referee is Esteban Ostojich.
What's at stake. Montevideo City Torque are 2nd on 19 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Liverpool Montevideo, level on points with Penarol. A win would take them above Liverpool Montevideo. Danubio FC are 13th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Defensor Sporting, 2 points clear of Cerro Largo. A win would take them above Defensor Sporting.
Form. Montevideo City Torque have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Montevideo City Torque have gone L D L W W W. Danubio FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition Danubio FC have gone W L D D L L.
The numbers. Montevideo City Torque score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Montevideo City Torque average 5.1 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Danubio FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Danubio FC average 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Montevideo City Torque have won three, drawn three and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Montevideo City Torque won two, one was drawn and Danubio FC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Sep 2026, it finished Montevideo City Torque 2-0 Danubio FC.
The case against. Danubio FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Montevideo City Torque to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Montevideo City Torque the likelier winners; Montevideo City Torque are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Montevideo City Torque or Draw at 1.23, 74% on the records (Montevideo City Torque unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home; Danubio FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Montevideo City Torque or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Montevideo City Torque or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Montevideo City Torque or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Montevideo City Torque 1-0 Danubio FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).