Breidablik vs Keflavik IF
Match details. Besta deild, Championship Group - 3. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. It is played at Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur.
What's at stake. Breidablik are 4th on 30 points after 22 games, 14 points behind KR Reykjavik, level on points with IA Akranes. Keflavik IF are 6th on 28 points after 22 games, 2 points behind IA Akranes, level on points with Stjarnan. A win would take them above IA Akranes.
Form. Breidablik have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Breidablik have gone L W L L L D. Keflavik IF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Keflavik IF have gone D L L L W W.
The numbers. Breidablik score 1.3 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Breidablik average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Keflavik IF score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Keflavik IF average 1.8 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Breidablik have won six, drawn two and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Breidablik won two, one was drawn and Keflavik IF won one. The last time they met, on 13 Jul 2026, it finished Breidablik 2-1 Keflavik IF.
Where it pulls both ways. Keflavik IF are the form side, but the meetings favour Breidablik: in the last ten meetings, Breidablik won six, Keflavik IF won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 77% on the records (Breidablik: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Keflavik IF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Breidablik Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Breidablik or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Keflavik IF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Breidablik or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Breidablik 2-1 Keflavik IF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).