Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Venados FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Leones Negros UDEG have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Venados FC score 2.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Venados FC average 5.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Leones Negros UDEG score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Leones Negros UDEG average 3.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Venados FC the likelier winners, but Leones Negros UDEG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leones Negros UDEG.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Venados FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Venados FC 2-1 Leones Negros UDEG (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.14
VEN 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)76.4%
Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)51.5%
Venados FC: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
VEN 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%
Venados FC: both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
VENADOS FC GOALS
Venados FC Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.13
VEN 10 of 10 (100%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%
Venados FC scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
LEONES NEGROS UDEG GOALS
Leones Negros UDEG Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
VEN 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 9 of 10 (90%)69.5%
Leones Negros UDEG scored in 4 of 5 away · Venados FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Left off the list: Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the numbers (43%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Leones Negros UDEG win or both teams score (no result call); Leones Negros UDEG or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.2%
Venados FC goals →
Leones Negros UDEG goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
VENADOS FCWWLWLLWLWD1.60 PPG
LEONES NEGROS UDEGWWLDWDWWLW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VENADOS FC HOMExLEONES NEGROS UDEG AWAY
2.36SCORED A GAME2.451.91CONCEDED A GAME1.4590%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.18CORNERS A GAME3.182.91CARDS A GAME2.55
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME2.00+0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.61.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
VENADOS FC OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
LEONES NEGROS UDEG OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VENADOS FCxLEONES NEGROS UDEG
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Venados FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG have scored in 90% of their games.
Venados FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards