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URUGUAY - PRIMERA DIVISION
Cerro Largo FC crestCLCER
19:00Sun 11 Oct
ALBAlbion FC crestAF

Cerro Largo FC vs Albion FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 10. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla , Merlot. The referee is Esteban Guerra.

What's at stake. Cerro Largo FC are 14th on 5 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Danubio, level on points with Central Espanol. A win would take them above Danubio. Albion FC are 16th on 3 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Central Espanol. A win would take them above Central Espanol.

Form. Cerro Largo FC have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Cerro Largo FC have gone L L L D L D. Albion FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition Albion FC have gone W L L L L L.

The numbers. Cerro Largo FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Albion FC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Cerro Largo FC have won none, drawn two and lost three. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Albion FC won two. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Cerro Largo FC 2-2 Albion FC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Albion FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Cerro Largo FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Cerro Largo FC 1-1 Albion FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Cerro Largo FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Albion FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Albion FC's level · Albion FC: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)93.9%
Cerro Largo FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Albion FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 5 · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Albion FC's level · Albion FC: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)90.2%
Cerro Largo FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Albion FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Albion FC's level · Albion FC: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.39
CER 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 3 of 5 (60%)67.8%
Cerro Largo FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Albion FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 5 · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Albion FC's level · Albion FC: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
ALBION FC GOALS
Albion FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
CER 3 of 5 (60%) · ALB 4 of 5 (80%)57.4%
Albion FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Cerro Largo FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 5 · Albion FC: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Albion FC's level
Left off the list: Albion FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Cerro Largo FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
Cerro Largo FC goals →
Albion FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
CERRO LARGO FCLDDDDLDLLL0.50 PPG
ALBION FCDLLLLLLLLW0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CERRO LARGO FC HOMExALBION FC AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.101.50CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS0%39%FAILED TO SCORE26%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.78POINTS A GAME0.71-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.00.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CERRO LARGO FC OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
ALBION FC OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CERRO LARGO FCxALBION FC
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
CERRO LARGO FC 0 · 0%DRAW 2ALBION FC 3 · 60%
4 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2018-04-07Cerro Largo FC 0 – 1 Albion FC
2018-09-04Cerro Largo FC 1 – 1 Albion FC
2022-04-16Cerro Largo FC 1 – 2 Albion FC
2022-09-18Cerro Largo FC 1 – 2 Albion FC
2026-04-05Cerro Largo FC 2 – 2 Albion FC
TRENDS
Cerro Largo FC failed to score in 39% of their games.
Albion FC failed to score in 26% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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