Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Boston River
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo. The referee is Javier Feres.
What's at stake. Montevideo Wanderers are 6th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Club Nacional, 1 point clear of Juventud. A win would take them above Club Nacional. CA Boston River are 11th on 9 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Progreso, 1 point clear of Defensor Sporting. A win would take them level on points with Progreso.
Form. Montevideo Wanderers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Montevideo Wanderers have gone W W D D L W. CA Boston River have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition CA Boston River have gone D L L L L D.
The numbers. Montevideo Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CA Boston River score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Montevideo Wanderers have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and CA Boston River won three. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Montevideo Wanderers 1-4 CA Boston River.
Where it pulls both ways. Montevideo Wanderers are the form side, but the meetings favour CA Boston River: in the last ten meetings, Montevideo Wanderers won two, CA Boston River won six and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 CA Boston River (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).