HCHAV

19:45Fri 9 Oct

CAE

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest. The referee is A. Jones.

What's at stake. Haverfordwest County AFC are 12th on 10 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Briton Ferry, 2 points clear of Flint Town United. A win would take them above Briton Ferry. Caernarfon Town FC are 5th on 23 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Barry Town, 1 point clear of Colwyn Bay. A win would take them above Barry Town.

Form. Haverfordwest County AFC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Caernarfon Town FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W.

The numbers. Haverfordwest County AFC score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Haverfordwest County AFC average 0.5 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Caernarfon Town FC score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Caernarfon Town FC average 2.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Haverfordwest County AFC have won three, drawn seven and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Haverfordwest County AFC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Nov 2025, it finished Haverfordwest County AFC 2-2 Caernarfon Town FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Caernarfon Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Haverfordwest County AFC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Haverfordwest County AFC's record still gives them 23% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Caernarfon Town FC to win. Caernarfon Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Haverfordwest County AFC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Caernarfon Town FC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Caernarfon Town FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Caernarfon Town FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Haverfordwest County AFC 0-1 Caernarfon Town FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Caernarfon Town FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAE 5 of 6 (83%)91.9%

Caernarfon Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Haverfordwest County AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level

Caernarfon Town FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.12

HAV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAE 5 of 6 (83%)91.9%

Caernarfon Town FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

HAV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAE 5 of 6 (83%)76.9%

Caernarfon Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Haverfordwest County AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 6 · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level

Double Chance: Draw or Caernarfon Town FCPAGE ONLY

1.18

HAV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAE 3 of 6 (50%)71.7%

Caernarfon Town FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Haverfordwest County AFC failed to win 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAV 6 of 6 (100%) · CAE 5 of 5 (100%)94.2%

Haverfordwest County AFC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Caernarfon Town FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

HAV 4 of 6 (67%) · CAE 5 of 5 (100%)75%

Haverfordwest County AFC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Caernarfon Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC GOALS

Haverfordwest County AFC Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

HAV 4 of 6 (67%) · CAE 3 of 5 (60%)70.5%

Haverfordwest County AFC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Caernarfon Town FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level

CAERNARFON TOWN FC GOALS

Caernarfon Town FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

HAV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAE 5 of 6 (83%)79.5%

Caernarfon Town FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Haverfordwest County AFC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

HAV 5 of 6 (83%) · CAE 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%

Haverfordwest County AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Caernarfon Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level

2nd Half - Caernarfon Town FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.43

HAV 3 of 5 (60%) · CAE 5 of 6 (83%)72.5%

Caernarfon Town FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Haverfordwest County AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Caernarfon Town FC: only games against sides at Haverfordwest County AFC's level · Haverfordwest County AFC: only games against sides at Caernarfon Town FC's level

Left off the list: Caernarfon Town FC 1UP (the numbers (52%) and the records (76%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Caernarfon Town FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Caernarfon Town FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Caernarfon Town FC or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (68%) and the records (89%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Caernarfon Town FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.4%

Haverfordwest County… goals →

Caernarfon Town FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFCLLLWWDWLLL1.00 PPG

CAERNARFON TOWN FCLDWDWWLWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC HOMExCAERNARFON TOWN FC AWAY

0.58SCORED A GAME2.921.42CONCEDED A GAME1.1710%CLEAN SHEETS40%67%FAILED TO SCORE8%0.50CORNERS A GAME2.640.38CARDS A GAME1.09

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

CAERNARFON TOWN FC TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

DRAW OR CAERNARFON TOWN FC (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.11POINTS A GAME1.89-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9

Caernarfon Town FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

CAERNARFON TOWN FC OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFCxCAERNARFON TOWN FC

5GAMES61.20SCORED A GAME2.170.80CONCEDED A GAME1.172.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.340%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%40%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY AFC 3 · 30%DRAW 7CAERNARFON TOWN FC 0 · 0%

8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-03-25Haverfordwest County AFC 2 – 2 Caernarfon Town FC

2023-08-26Haverfordwest County AFC 1 – 1 Caernarfon Town FC

2023-12-16Haverfordwest County AFC 1 – 0 Caernarfon Town FC

2024-08-17Haverfordwest County AFC 2 – 1 Caernarfon Town FC

2024-10-26Haverfordwest County AFC 0 – 0 Caernarfon Town FC

2025-02-08Haverfordwest County AFC 1 – 1 Caernarfon Town FC

2025-03-29Haverfordwest County AFC 1 – 1 Caernarfon Town FC

2025-05-18Haverfordwest County AFC 3 – 1 Caernarfon Town FC

TRENDS

Haverfordwest County AFC have scored in 40% of their games.

Caernarfon Town FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Haverfordwest County AFC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Caernarfon Town FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards