Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios FC
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 02:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogota, a neutral ground. The referee is Santiago Bismarks.
What's at stake. Fortaleza FC are 16th on 10 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Alianza Valledupar, 1 point clear of Junior. A win would take them above Alianza Valledupar. Millonarios FC are 6th on 21 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Santa Fe, 1 point clear of Independiente Medellin. A win would take them above Santa Fe.
Form. Fortaleza FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition Fortaleza FC have gone D D L D D L. Millonarios FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. In this competition Millonarios FC have gone D D W W D D.
The numbers. Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fortaleza FC average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Millonarios FC score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Millonarios FC average 14.8 shots (6.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fortaleza FC have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Millonarios FC won three. The last time they met, on 31 Mar 2026, it finished Fortaleza FC 2-2 Millonarios FC: Fortaleza FC had 10 shots to 15, 51% of the ball, 11 yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Millonarios FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Millonarios FC the likelier winners; Millonarios FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Millonarios FC; the meetings favour Millonarios FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Millonarios FC at 1.22, 77% on the records (Millonarios FC unbeaten in 9 of 10; Fortaleza FC failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: Millonarios FC win or both teams score at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Millonarios FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fortaleza FC 1-2 Millonarios FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).