Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. The referee is E. Lezama.
Form. Phoenix Rising FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. Las Vegas Lights have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Phoenix Rising FC score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Phoenix Rising FC average 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Las Vegas Lights score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Las Vegas Lights average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Phoenix Rising FC the likelier winners, but Las Vegas Lights are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Las Vegas Lights or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Las Vegas Lights or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Las Vegas Lights win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Phoenix Rising FC 1-1 Las Vegas Lights (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).