FC RFS vs FS Jelgava
Match details. FC RFS take on FS Jelgava in the Virsliga this weekend. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC RFS have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.5 points a game. Their last five games show D, W, D, L, W. FS Jelgava have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, earning 0.7 points a game. Their last five read L, D, L, W, W.
The numbers. At home, FC RFS score 2.4 and concede 1.8 goals a game in their last five, keeping one clean sheet. They also average 6.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. On the road, FS Jelgava score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. The visitors average 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. This is a tricky one because the prices and the records disagree. The odds board makes it 81% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: FC RFS are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FC RFS the likelier winners. They are also the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour them.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC RFS 1-1 FS Jelgava (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).